APR Forecast October 2024

In this article, we provide an analysis of the current staking rewards rate for Twinstake-supported crypto assets, offering insights into their performance over the past quarter as well as projections for the next three months. By examining key factors such as staking capitalization, inflation rates, and network utilization, we aim to provide a comprehensive overview of Twinstake’s expectations over the coming quarter.

Executive Summary

ETH: Twinstake expects the current staking reward rate on Ethereum to drop by only 2 basis points (bps) to 3.46% during Q4 due to anticipated increased staking market capitalization. 

SOL: The staking APR on Solana is predicted to reach 7.58% from its current value of 7.67% over Q4 2024, driven by the reducing inflationary issuance, potentially offset somewhat by higher JITO MEV (Maximal Extractable Value).

TON: Recently high network usage which pushed the staking APR to its current high value of 4.51%, is expected to subside and stabilise the APR at 4.25% during Q4. 

APT: Aptos’s 2nd genesis anniversary is set for October 12th. The pre-defined inflation rate reduces annually on this date by 1.5% and will reduce the APR from 6.89% to 6.79%. It is worth noting the recently approved proposal to reduce the staking lockup period from 28 days to 14 days which significantly improved liquidity for Aptos stakers.

TIA: Celestia’s staking APR is expected to decrease from 9.92% to 9.69% as the inflation rate drops from 8.04% to 7.21%.

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To see the full Twinstake analysis on APR rates for the coming quarter, read the full report below:

Disclaimer: Twinstake does not provide staking services to retail customers. This report is not intended as a promotion, offer, invitation or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment, nor is it intended to give rise to any other legal relations whatsoever and must not be relied upon for the purposes of any investment decision. It does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. If you do not have the relevant professional experience in matters relating to crypto asset investments, you should not consider this report to be directed at you.
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References to network performance, rewards, issuance and planned protocol changes are based on information available as at 4 September 2026, may change and are not guaranteed. Historical reward data is not a reliable indicator of future results. Staking rewards are variable, and staking may involve slashing, downtime, liquidity, market, protocol, operational and other risks. SIMD-0550 has been approved but not activated, and the modelled effects in this report assume an activation date that has not been confirmed.  
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This report and the information in it are not directed at, or intended to be made available to, retail customers. It is directed only at persons who are professional investors (for the purposes of the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (2011/61/EU) (known as 'AIFMD'); professional clients or eligible counterparties for the purposes of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II (Directive 2014/65/EU) (known as 'MiFID II'); if you are in the UK, to "Investment Professionals" or "High Net Worth Companies" as defined in Articles 19 and 49 respectively of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, or as otherwise defined under applicable local regulations and at whom this report and the information in it may lawfully be directed in any relevant jurisdiction.
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The appearance of any third-party hyperlinks or third-party reference in the report does not constitute an endorsement, guarantee, warranty, or recommendation by Twinstake. Do conduct your own due diligence before deciding to use any third-party services.

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Twinstake shall have no liability for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on the information provided herein or for any errors or omissions in the information.